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Red403
4976179.0
6564116.9
6140108.8
Blue197
7013135.6
6513114.8
5699111.8
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions312274100200400500403197

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
179.03.5
156.9160.4
Auto20.2
Teleop135.1
End22.9
red by 43.4
7013
#25
135.60.9
138.4137.5
Auto24.6
Teleop97.6
End13.6
Second
6564
#24
116.90.4
115.8115.4
Auto17.9
Teleop85.6
End14.1
red by 2.1
6513
#33
114.81.2
122.0120.9
Auto15.2
Teleop88.7
End11.6
Third
6140
#20
108.80.2
101.2101.5
Auto16.0
Teleop80.0
End17.1
blue by 3.1
5699
#26
111.81.6
110.5112.0
Auto16.8
Teleop86.8
End7.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
62%Auto Quest oddsEarned34%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
5%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed