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Red177
5921115.1
7329127.7
4946173.8
Blue431
188149.0
6632123.3
1325193.9
24%Model gave it76%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2663590100200300400500600177431

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
173.80.5
178.1178.6
Auto24.3
Teleop125.2
End21.8
blue by 20.1
193.92.8
178.6181.4
Auto24.3
Teleop145.5
End29.8
Second
7329
#22
127.73.4
124.6128.1
Auto17.9
Teleop103.0
End6.5
blue by 21.3
188
#7
149.00.5
146.8146.3
Auto19.9
Teleop113.0
End16.1
Third
5921
#14
115.12.2
113.0115.2
Auto16.8
Teleop87.0
End9.3
blue by 8.2
6632
#18
123.30.2
119.5119.7
Auto15.3
Teleop95.4
End14.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
58%Auto Quest oddsEarned76%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed6%Face the Boss oddsMissed