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Red254
6397122.9
6632123.3
6135109.1
Blue259
5921115.1
4001136.1
5699111.8
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions298272100200400500254259

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6632
#18
123.31.3
119.7121.0
Auto15.3
Teleop95.4
End14.8
blue by 12.8
4001
#13
136.10.2
137.1136.9
Auto16.3
Teleop99.6
End16.9
Second
6397
#11
122.91.2
120.6121.8
Auto19.0
Teleop87.3
End17.1
red by 7.9
5921
#14
115.10.8
114.5115.3
Auto16.8
Teleop87.0
End9.3
Third
6135
#21
109.11.2
107.3108.5
Auto18.8
Teleop82.4
End9.3
blue by 2.7
5699
#26
111.80.4
112.0112.4
Auto16.8
Teleop86.8
End7.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
69%Auto Quest oddsMissed44%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed2%Face the Boss oddsMissed