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Red344
854114.9
746112.5
1325193.9
Blue163
4343152.6
6975104.1
6867136.7
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions343265100200300400500600344163

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
193.93.0
181.4184.5
Auto24.3
Teleop145.5
End29.8
red by 41.2
152.62.5
147.5150.0
Auto22.8
Teleop108.5
End25.1
Second
854
#34
114.90.8
115.8115.0
Auto16.2
Teleop91.9
End8.0
blue by 21.8
6867
#19
136.70.9
139.2138.2
Auto19.1
Teleop104.2
End14.2
Third
746
#28
112.51.1
114.5113.3
Auto17.1
Teleop83.4
End11.1
red by 8.3
6975
#32
104.10.5
105.2104.7
Auto16.2
Teleop81.0
End7.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
38%Auto Quest oddsMissed80%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed2%Face the Boss oddsMissed