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Red406
2609157.6
4946167.6
6867132.2
Blue106
7267119.4
5519122.5
6514121.6
96%Model gave it4%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4121930100300500600700406106

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
167.60.6
165.3165.9
Auto23.3
Teleop117.4
End27.1
red by 45.1
5519
#11
122.50.0
122.5122.5
Auto15.1
Teleop94.7
End11.6
Second
157.60.4
156.1156.5
Auto23.0
Teleop116.9
End17.2
red by 35.9
6514
#23
121.60.2
121.9121.6
Auto17.0
Teleop93.3
End10.7
Third
6867
#17
132.20.5
130.3130.8
Auto16.4
Teleop103.9
End12.2
red by 12.8
7267
#13
119.40.3
119.1119.4
Auto14.5
Teleop97.9
End6.5