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Red451
5036163.6
2200164.9
5031120.1
Blue282
6070114.8
1246125.4
6513130.6
92%Model gave it8%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4282430100200300500600700800451282

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
164.91.0
161.2162.2
Auto21.8
Teleop107.3
End41.2
red by 34.3
6513
#38
130.60.1
130.8130.7
Auto15.3
Teleop102.3
End12.6
Second
163.60.7
160.9161.6
Auto25.8
Teleop117.5
End22.7
red by 38.2
1246
#10
125.40.2
125.0125.2
Auto13.8
Teleop91.0
End21.6
Third
5031
#25
120.10.1
120.1120.1
Auto17.8
Teleop90.8
End12.0
red by 5.3
6070
#32
114.80.3
114.3114.5
Auto16.5
Teleop85.8
End13.4