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Red441
6867132.2
5409124.9
610210.9
Blue106
5428135.3
781120.1
4783101.2
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3262510100200400500600441106

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
610
#1
210.910.5
141.6152.0
Auto29.4
Teleop150.4
End33.4
red by 75.6
5428
#22
135.36.5
108.6115.1
Auto17.8
Teleop103.1
End16.6
Second
6867
#17
132.28.5
86.495.0
Auto16.4
Teleop103.9
End12.2
red by 12.1
781
#37
120.13.3
110.7114.0
Auto14.8
Teleop92.5
End13.0
Third
5409
#21
124.93.5
100.9104.3
Auto18.4
Teleop92.1
End15.4
red by 23.7
4783
#31
101.27.9
91.599.4
Auto17.8
Teleop75.8
End6.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
27%Auto Quest oddsEarned34%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed