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Red187
4248111.6
6513130.6
6866113.2
Blue275
7267119.4
5519122.5
4704125.3
27%Model gave it73%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2192950100400500600187275

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6513
#38
130.65.3
122.2127.5
Auto15.3
Teleop102.3
End12.6
red by 5.3
125.35.2
107.8113.0
Auto18.7
Teleop97.6
End7.1
Second
6866
#19
113.22.1
91.994.0
Auto12.5
Teleop87.5
End15.1
blue by 9.4
5519
#11
122.55.1
99.8104.9
Auto15.1
Teleop94.7
End11.6
Third
4248
#27
111.63.4
95.598.9
Auto15.0
Teleop88.9
End9.3
blue by 7.8
7267
#13
119.46.4
99.9106.4
Auto14.5
Teleop97.9
End6.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
12%Auto Quest oddsMissed14%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed