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Red261
5911113.4
4248111.6
2609157.6
Blue218
697798.2
4015102.7
5036163.6
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2992340100200400500261218

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
157.64.5
131.7136.2
Auto23.0
Teleop116.9
End17.2
blue by 6.0
163.66.7
130.7137.4
Auto25.8
Teleop117.5
End22.7
Second
5911
#14
113.44.6
101.0105.6
Auto14.9
Teleop91.0
End6.7
red by 10.7
4015
#36
102.71.6
98.897.2
Auto13.7
Teleop77.8
End11.6
Third
4248
#27
111.63.0
98.9102.0
Auto15.0
Teleop88.9
End9.3
red by 13.4
6977
#18
98.21.3
88.589.8
Auto16.8
Teleop73.3
End7.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
20%Auto Quest oddsEarned23%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed