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Red247
6339107.7
6917132.8
5409124.9
Blue444
6140110.1
5428135.3
610210.9
15%Model gave it85%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2233510100300400500600247444

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6917
#26
132.88.8
98.2107.0
Auto16.4
Teleop103.1
End12.2
blue by 78.1
610
#1
210.910.6
152.0162.6
Auto29.4
Teleop150.4
End33.4
Second
5409
#21
124.95.7
104.3110.0
Auto18.4
Teleop92.1
End15.4
blue by 10.4
5428
#22
135.31.7
115.1116.8
Auto17.8
Teleop103.1
End16.6
Third
6339
#30
107.73.0
98.8101.8
Auto14.3
Teleop81.2
End11.7
blue by 2.3
6140
#33
110.14.6
95.199.7
Auto13.7
Teleop82.3
End13.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
44%Auto Quest oddsMissed22%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed