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Red185
4783101.2
6867132.2
4939132.0
Blue361
1285149.4
6514121.6
6110127.0
29%Model gave it71%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2463180100200400500600185361

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6867
#17
132.29.1
95.0104.1
Auto16.4
Teleop103.9
End12.2
blue by 17.2
149.44.7
128.6133.3
Auto24.3
Teleop106.3
End22.5
Second
4939
#34
132.04.0
123.6127.6
Auto15.6
Teleop100.6
End15.4
red by 5.1
6110
#24
127.04.4
114.1118.5
Auto15.9
Teleop99.9
End11.0
Third
4783
#31
101.22.7
99.4102.1
Auto17.8
Teleop75.8
End6.4
blue by 20.4
6514
#23
121.67.2
103.3110.5
Auto17.0
Teleop93.3
End10.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
31%Auto Quest oddsMissed44%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed