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Red82
5719115.4
4015102.7
2708133.2
Blue395
4476177.7
6975110.5
2609157.6
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions26529610015020035040045082395

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
133.23.6
126.5130.0
Auto18.2
Teleop105.2
End9.8
blue by 44.5
177.77.4
121.2128.7
Auto26.9
Teleop135.5
End17.9
Second
5719
#20
115.45.0
115.6120.6
Auto17.7
Teleop91.1
End5.5
blue by 42.1
157.62.8
128.9131.7
Auto23.0
Teleop116.9
End17.2
Third
4015
#36
102.73.4
95.498.8
Auto13.7
Teleop77.8
End11.6
blue by 7.8
6975
#29
110.54.6
100.0104.6
Auto14.7
Teleop88.4
End4.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
31%Auto Quest oddsMissed43%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed