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Red302
4946167.6
6141102.1
5031120.1
Blue258
5036163.6
6070114.8
781120.1
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions263290150200350400302258

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
167.63.5
129.3132.8
Auto23.3
Teleop117.4
End27.1
red by 4.1
163.69.1
121.5130.7
Auto25.8
Teleop117.5
End22.7
Second
5031
#25
120.10.8
106.3107.1
Auto17.8
Teleop90.8
End12.0
blue by 0.1
781
#37
120.10.4
114.0113.6
Auto14.8
Teleop92.5
End13.0
Third
6141
#12
102.12.4
94.997.3
Auto16.1
Teleop76.9
End9.3
blue by 12.7
6070
#32
114.84.6
104.9109.5
Auto16.5
Teleop85.8
End13.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
26%Auto Quest oddsEarned44%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed