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Red273
4783101.2
6514121.6
1246125.4
Blue202
4907109.7
4252121.3
6917132.8
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions286262100150200350400450500273202

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1246
#10
125.44.3
112.4116.7
Auto13.8
Teleop91.0
End21.6
blue by 7.5
6917
#26
132.87.3
107.0114.3
Auto16.4
Teleop103.1
End12.2
Second
6514
#23
121.66.4
110.5116.9
Auto17.0
Teleop93.3
End10.7
red by 0.3
4252
#28
121.35.7
102.5108.2
Auto14.6
Teleop92.0
End13.7
Third
4783
#31
101.20.9
102.1103.0
Auto17.8
Teleop75.8
End6.4
blue by 8.6
4907
#35
109.71.4
107.1105.6
Auto14.2
Teleop83.1
End13.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
48%Auto Quest oddsMissed15%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed5%Face the Boss oddsMissed