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Red483
5519122.5
610210.9
6339107.7
Blue188
6141102.1
7267119.4
2994127.1
85%Model gave it15%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3472260100300400500600483188

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
610
#1
210.99.2
162.6171.8
Auto29.4
Teleop150.4
End33.4
red by 83.8
2994
#15
127.14.0
112.9116.9
Auto14.8
Teleop98.7
End15.8
Second
5519
#11
122.54.8
104.9109.8
Auto15.1
Teleop94.7
End11.6
red by 3.1
7267
#13
119.45.7
106.4112.1
Auto14.5
Teleop97.9
End6.5
Third
6339
#30
107.73.6
105.1108.6
Auto14.3
Teleop81.2
End11.7
red by 5.7
6141
#12
102.13.4
97.3100.8
Auto16.1
Teleop76.9
End9.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
24%Auto Quest oddsEarned18%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed5%Face the Boss oddsMissed