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Red392
5409124.9
2609157.6
2200164.9
Blue278
6070114.8
6110127.0
4476177.7
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions308305260280320340360380392278

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
164.91.2
145.3146.5
Auto21.8
Teleop107.3
End41.2
blue by 12.8
177.76.6
136.4143.0
Auto26.9
Teleop135.5
End17.9
Second
157.63.7
136.2139.9
Auto23.0
Teleop116.9
End17.2
red by 30.6
6110
#24
127.03.1
123.0126.1
Auto15.9
Teleop99.9
End11.0
Third
5409
#21
124.91.3
115.2116.5
Auto18.4
Teleop92.1
End15.4
red by 10.1
6070
#32
114.80.3
113.2112.9
Auto16.5
Teleop85.8
End13.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
67%Auto Quest oddsEarned60%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
5%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed