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Red311
6513130.6
6917132.8
1246125.4
Blue367
1285149.4
5031120.1
697798.2
70%Model gave it30%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions304254100200400500311367

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6917
#26
132.84.6
114.3118.8
Auto16.4
Teleop103.1
End12.2
blue by 16.5
149.40.3
138.2138.4
Auto24.3
Teleop106.3
End22.5
Second
6513
#38
130.60.7
131.8132.5
Auto15.3
Teleop102.3
End12.6
red by 10.5
5031
#25
120.12.1
109.4111.5
Auto17.8
Teleop90.8
End12.0
Third
1246
#10
125.43.3
116.7120.0
Auto13.8
Teleop91.0
End21.6
red by 27.2
6977
#18
98.21.4
92.093.4
Auto16.8
Teleop73.3
End7.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
17%Auto Quest oddsMissed30%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed