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Red214
7267119.4
4015102.7
781120.1
Blue80
6339107.7
5911113.4
6140110.1
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions25727610015020030035040045021480

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
781
#37
120.10.1
114.3114.4
Auto14.8
Teleop92.5
End13.0
red by 6.7
5911
#14
113.40.2
111.7111.5
Auto14.9
Teleop91.0
End6.7
Second
7267
#13
119.42.9
115.1118.0
Auto14.5
Teleop97.9
End6.5
red by 9.3
6140
#33
110.11.7
108.2109.9
Auto13.7
Teleop82.3
End13.0
Third
4015
#36
102.70.3
97.497.6
Auto13.7
Teleop77.8
End11.6
blue by 5.0
6339
#30
107.74.1
108.6112.7
Auto14.3
Teleop81.2
End11.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
7%Auto Quest oddsMissed23%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed