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Red69
6975110.5
5519122.5
697798.2
Blue398
4252121.3
4476177.7
5409124.9
20%Model gave it80%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions231330010020030040050060069398

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5519
#11
122.54.5
114.7119.2
Auto15.1
Teleop94.7
End11.6
blue by 55.2
177.74.0
143.0146.9
Auto26.9
Teleop135.5
End17.9
Second
6975
#29
110.52.6
115.0117.6
Auto14.7
Teleop88.4
End4.8
blue by 14.4
5409
#21
124.92.8
116.5119.3
Auto18.4
Teleop92.1
End15.4
Third
6977
#18
98.24.5
93.497.9
Auto16.8
Teleop73.3
End7.0
blue by 23.2
4252
#28
121.33.5
111.6115.1
Auto14.6
Teleop92.0
End13.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
16%Auto Quest oddsMissed39%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed5%Face the Boss oddsMissed