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Red499
610210.9
7052117.4
6917132.8
Blue269
6070114.8
6513130.6
6867132.2
85%Model gave it15%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions365253100200300400500600499269

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
610
#1
210.96.3
179.8186.1
Auto29.4
Teleop150.4
End33.4
red by 78.7
6867
#17
132.23.0
114.1117.2
Auto16.4
Teleop103.9
End12.2
Second
6917
#26
132.84.0
118.8122.9
Auto16.4
Teleop103.1
End12.2
red by 2.3
6513
#38
130.61.4
132.5133.9
Auto15.3
Teleop102.3
End12.6
Third
7052
#16
117.40.3
109.5109.2
Auto13.8
Teleop92.8
End13.5
red by 2.6
6070
#32
114.80.5
112.9112.4
Auto16.5
Teleop85.8
End13.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
33%Auto Quest oddsEarned19%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed