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Red246
7052117.4
6070114.8
4704125.3
Blue147
781120.1
6514121.6
6339107.7
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions278275150200250300350400246147

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
125.32.0
124.8126.8
Auto18.7
Teleop97.6
End7.1
red by 3.7
6514
#23
121.60.2
122.8122.6
Auto17.0
Teleop93.3
End10.7
Second
7052
#16
117.41.9
109.2111.1
Auto13.8
Teleop92.8
End13.5
blue by 2.8
781
#37
120.11.2
114.4115.6
Auto14.8
Teleop92.5
End13.0
Third
6070
#32
114.80.1
112.4112.2
Auto16.5
Teleop85.8
End13.4
red by 7.0
6339
#30
107.71.6
112.7114.3
Auto14.3
Teleop81.2
End11.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
42%Auto Quest oddsEarned19%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed