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Red313
7052117.4
697798.2
4946167.6
Blue264
6140110.1
2609157.6
1285149.4
16%Model gave it84%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2433620100200300400500600313264

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
167.64.1
149.2153.4
Auto23.3
Teleop117.4
End27.1
red by 10.1
157.63.3
147.4150.7
Auto23.0
Teleop116.9
End17.2
Second
7052
#16
117.42.2
111.1113.3
Auto13.8
Teleop92.8
End13.5
blue by 32.0
149.40.8
145.4146.2
Auto24.3
Teleop106.3
End22.5
Third
6977
#18
98.21.6
98.096.4
Auto16.8
Teleop73.3
End7.0
blue by 11.9
6140
#33
110.11.6
110.1111.6
Auto13.7
Teleop82.3
End13.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
45%Auto Quest oddsEarned60%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed