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Red280
5428135.3
5031120.1
6867132.2
Blue321
2994127.1
4248111.6
610210.9
16%Model gave it84%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions256371100200300400500600280321

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5428
#22
135.32.2
126.2128.4
Auto17.8
Teleop103.1
End16.6
blue by 75.6
610
#1
210.95.7
192.2197.9
Auto29.4
Teleop150.4
End33.4
Second
6867
#17
132.22.9
119.3122.2
Auto16.4
Teleop103.9
End12.2
red by 5.1
2994
#15
127.12.3
121.8124.1
Auto14.8
Teleop98.7
End15.8
Third
5031
#25DQ
120.11.1
119.4118.3
Auto17.8
Teleop90.8
End12.0
red by 8.4
4248
#27
111.61.9
110.6112.5
Auto15.0
Teleop88.9
End9.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
17%Auto Quest oddsEarned60%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed