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Red255
5428135.3
1285149.4
4907109.7
Blue437
4015102.7
610210.9
4946167.6
9%Model gave it91%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions254423100200300500600700255437

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
149.41.3
146.2147.5
Auto24.3
Teleop106.3
End22.5
blue by 61.5
610
#1
210.93.2
201.4204.6
Auto29.4
Teleop150.4
End33.4
Second
5428
#22
135.32.5
130.9133.4
Auto17.8
Teleop103.1
End16.6
blue by 32.4
167.64.0
157.5161.5
Auto23.3
Teleop117.4
End27.1
Third
4907
#35
109.72.6
105.3107.9
Auto14.2
Teleop83.1
End13.8
red by 7.0
4015
#36
102.70.6
101.4102.0
Auto13.7
Teleop77.8
End11.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
45%Auto Quest oddsMissed74%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed