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Red104
5031120.1
6514121.6
6140110.1
Blue377
4476177.7
5519122.5
4248111.6
16%Model gave it84%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions232345100200300400500600104377

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6514
#23
121.60.4
122.9123.3
Auto17.0
Teleop93.3
End10.7
blue by 56.1
177.74.8
162.1166.9
Auto26.9
Teleop135.5
End17.9
Second
5031
#25
120.11.9
118.4120.3
Auto17.8
Teleop90.8
End12.0
blue by 2.5
5519
#11
122.50.9
120.2121.0
Auto15.1
Teleop94.7
End11.6
Third
6140
#33
110.10.4
112.1111.8
Auto13.7
Teleop82.3
End13.0
blue by 1.5
4248
#27
111.61.7
113.6112.0
Auto15.0
Teleop88.9
End9.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
49%Auto Quest oddsMissed56%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed