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Red32
781120.1
4248111.6
6141102.1
Blue429
610210.9
1246125.4
4252121.3
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions26928810020040032429

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
781
#37
120.114.2
91.1105.3
Auto14.8
Teleop92.5
End13.0
blue by 90.8
610
#1
210.911.3
119.2130.4
Auto29.4
Teleop150.4
End33.4
Second
4248
#27
111.611.9
79.791.6
Auto15.0
Teleop88.9
End9.3
blue by 13.7
1246
#10
125.411.4
82.794.1
Auto13.8
Teleop91.0
End21.6
Third
6141
#12
102.111.6
79.591.1
Auto16.1
Teleop76.9
End9.3
blue by 19.3
4252
#28
121.38.4
81.589.9
Auto14.6
Teleop92.0
End13.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
25%Auto Quest oddsMissed38%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed