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Red282
6514121.6
6070114.8
2609157.6
Blue300
1285149.4
6975110.5
7267119.4
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions276282100150200250300350400450282300

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
157.613.4
98.4111.8
Auto23.0
Teleop116.9
End17.2
red by 8.2
149.413.4
98.8112.2
Auto24.3
Teleop106.3
End22.5
Second
6514
#23
121.617.5
61.578.9
Auto17.0
Teleop93.3
End10.7
red by 2.2
7267
#13
119.443.4
121.177.7
Auto14.5
Teleop97.9
End6.5
Third
6070
#32
114.816.5
70.586.9
Auto16.5
Teleop85.8
End13.4
red by 4.3
6975
#29
110.526.4
104.177.7
Auto14.7
Teleop88.4
End4.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
31%Auto Quest oddsEarned30%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed