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Red200
6140110.1
5719115.4
6513130.6
Blue407
6867132.2
5911113.4
1246125.4
32%Model gave it68%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions261308100200400500200407

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6513
#38
130.60.4
131.2130.8
Auto15.3
Teleop102.3
End12.6
blue by 1.6
6867
#17
132.21.3
128.5129.8
Auto16.4
Teleop103.9
End12.2
Second
5719
#20
115.41.2
116.6115.4
Auto17.7
Teleop91.1
End5.5
blue by 9.9
1246
#10
125.40.0
124.9125.0
Auto13.8
Teleop91.0
End21.6
Third
6140
#33
110.11.7
111.8110.1
Auto13.7
Teleop82.3
End13.0
blue by 3.3
5911
#14
113.40.2
112.7112.9
Auto14.9
Teleop91.0
End6.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
14%Auto Quest oddsMissed16%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed5%Face the Boss oddsMissed