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Red308
6070114.8
5428135.3
697798.2
Blue217
5519122.5
4939132.0
4907109.7
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions280319100200400500308217

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5428
#22
135.31.9
133.4135.3
Auto17.8
Teleop103.1
End16.6
red by 3.3
4939
#34
132.00.4
134.1133.7
Auto15.6
Teleop100.6
End15.4
Second
6070
#32
114.80.5
113.7114.3
Auto16.5
Teleop85.8
End13.4
blue by 7.8
5519
#11
122.51.4
121.0122.4
Auto15.1
Teleop94.7
End11.6
Third
6977
#18
98.20.6
97.097.6
Auto16.8
Teleop73.3
End7.0
blue by 11.6
4907
#35
109.71.9
107.9109.7
Auto14.2
Teleop83.1
End13.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
44%Auto Quest oddsMissed5%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
2%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed