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Red427
3739125.9
2013176.0
3683160.3
Blue257
4618178.7
762360.1
6378163.4
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3513070200400600800427257

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
176.00.0
176.0176.0
Auto23.0
Teleop128.3
End22.0
blue by 2.8
4618
#11
178.70.0
178.7178.7
Auto21.5
Teleop139.1
End16.6
Second
160.30.0
160.3160.3
Auto15.7
Teleop123.9
End21.8
blue by 3.1
6378
#25
163.40.0
163.4163.4
Auto22.6
Teleop121.8
End19.0
Third
3739
#30
125.90.0
125.9125.9
Auto16.6
Teleop93.9
End14.1
red by 65.8
7623
#10
60.10.0
60.160.1
Auto5.0
Teleop45.2
End9.9