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Red456
1241202.9
1114226.9
4308136.4
Blue212
1285153.9
865198.0
4069153.1
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions39533202006008001,000456212

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
226.90.0
226.9226.9
Auto23.7
Teleop172.4
End30.3
red by 28.9
865
#17
198.00.0
198.0198.0
Auto24.6
Teleop147.3
End26.0
Second
202.90.0
202.9202.9
Auto24.2
Teleop156.5
End20.3
red by 49.0
1285
#27
153.90.0
153.9153.9
Auto19.1
Teleop113.0
End19.8
Third
4308
#20
136.40.0
136.4136.4
Auto19.7
Teleop101.8
End16.3
blue by 16.7
153.10.0
153.1153.1
Auto22.8
Teleop107.3
End23.2