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Red409
6378163.4
5039148.0
4917209.9
Blue201
2609162.6
2604109.8
1360197.6
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions38730802006008001,000409201

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
209.90.0
209.9209.9
Auto25.1
Teleop153.4
End28.1
red by 12.3
1360
#14
197.60.0
197.6197.6
Auto24.7
Teleop147.9
End22.6
Second
6378
#25
163.40.0
163.4163.4
Auto22.6
Teleop121.8
End19.0
red by 0.8
2609
#29
162.60.0
162.6162.6
Auto23.5
Teleop122.6
End11.6
Third
5039
#16
148.00.0
148.0148.0
Auto19.5
Teleop113.8
End13.8
red by 38.2
2604
#22
109.80.0
109.8109.8
Auto16.9
Teleop77.8
End16.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
96%Auto Quest odds98%Auto Quest odds
Face the Boss
33%Face the Boss odds8%Face the Boss odds