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Red272
4678192.8
4343146.1
6878129.4
Blue501
2056250.9
4618178.7
1241202.9
17%Model gave it83%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2504670200400600800272501

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
192.80.0
192.8192.8
Auto24.8
Teleop151.1
End14.6
blue by 58.1
250.90.0
250.9250.9
Auto26.5
Teleop184.2
End38.9
Second
4343
#28
146.10.0
146.1146.1
Auto19.5
Teleop100.7
End25.3
blue by 56.8
202.90.0
202.9202.9
Auto24.2
Teleop156.5
End20.3
Third
6878
#21
129.40.0
129.4129.4
Auto16.6
Teleop97.0
End16.0
blue by 49.3
4618
#11
178.70.0
178.7178.7
Auto21.5
Teleop139.1
End16.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
57%Auto Quest odds94%Auto Quest odds
Face the Boss
9%Face the Boss odds89%Face the Boss odds