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Red375
750960.1
4308136.4
2702173.8
Blue283
6378163.4
3161151.9
4343146.1
43%Model gave it57%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3203520100200400500600700800375283

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2702
#12
173.80.0
173.8173.8
Auto23.5
Teleop125.4
End27.8
red by 10.4
6378
#25
163.40.0
163.4163.4
Auto22.6
Teleop121.8
End19.0
Second
4308
#20
136.40.0
136.4136.4
Auto19.7
Teleop101.8
End16.3
blue by 15.5
3161
#13
151.90.0
151.9151.9
Auto14.9
Teleop120.6
End16.5
Third
7509
#26
60.10.0
60.160.1
Auto5.0
Teleop45.2
End9.9
blue by 86.0
4343
#28
146.10.0
146.1146.1
Auto19.5
Teleop100.7
End25.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
79%Auto Quest odds68%Auto Quest odds
Face the Boss
28%Face the Boss odds11%Face the Boss odds