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Red367
5039148.0
1360197.6
1114226.9
Blue295
4618178.7
3015186.0
1325208.4
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3603750100200300500600367295

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
226.90.0
226.9226.9
Auto23.7
Teleop172.4
End30.3
red by 18.5
1325
#15
208.40.0
208.4208.4
Auto23.9
Teleop156.3
End27.7
Second
1360
#14
197.60.0
197.6197.6
Auto24.7
Teleop147.9
End22.6
red by 11.6
3015
#19
186.00.0
186.0186.0
Auto22.4
Teleop134.6
End29.6
Third
5039
#16
148.00.0
148.0148.0
Auto19.5
Teleop113.8
End13.8
blue by 30.7
4618
#11
178.70.0
178.7178.7
Auto21.5
Teleop139.1
End16.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
94%Auto Quest odds78%Auto Quest odds
Face the Boss
31%Face the Boss odds31%Face the Boss odds