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Red521
1114206.3
5406192.4
6878116.6
Blue290
2706163.6
4039184.7
6917135.8
83%Model gave it17%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions409321200500600521290

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
206.30.3
206.0206.3
Auto28.0
Teleop148.8
End28.3
red by 21.6
184.70.2
184.5184.7
Auto28.2
Teleop139.4
End16.2
Second
192.40.5
191.9192.4
Auto22.8
Teleop130.6
End41.1
red by 28.7
163.60.0
163.6163.6
Auto18.5
Teleop122.9
End21.9
Third
6878
#17
116.60.2
116.4116.6
Auto15.3
Teleop85.0
End15.8
blue by 19.1
6917
#18
135.80.0
135.7135.8
Auto17.7
Teleop103.9
End14.4