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Red496
1114206.3
5406192.4
6878116.6
Blue249
2706163.6
4039184.7
6917135.8
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions400327200300500600496249

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
206.30.2
205.8206.0
Auto28.0
Teleop148.8
End28.3
red by 21.6
184.70.3
184.2184.5
Auto28.2
Teleop139.4
End16.2
Second
192.40.5
191.4191.9
Auto22.8
Teleop130.6
End41.1
red by 28.7
163.60.1
163.5163.6
Auto18.5
Teleop122.9
End21.9
Third
6878
#17
116.60.2
116.2116.4
Auto15.3
Teleop85.0
End15.8
blue by 19.1
6917
#18
135.80.1
135.6135.7
Auto17.7
Teleop103.9
End14.4