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Red455
1285162.2
1246154.6
4308132.1
Blue274
6544142.7
7200144.9
6866109.1
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions372278100200400500600455274

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
162.20.2
161.6161.8
Auto25.3
Teleop115.8
End20.8
red by 17.3
144.90.2
144.7144.9
Auto19.0
Teleop108.0
End19.1
Second
154.60.4
153.6154.0
Auto21.5
Teleop106.6
End25.0
red by 12.0
6544
#16
142.70.2
142.9142.7
Auto16.5
Teleop102.3
End26.6
Third
4308
#13
132.10.3
132.9132.6
Auto18.3
Teleop101.4
End9.5
red by 23.0
6866
#34
109.10.1
109.1109.1
Auto14.1
Teleop83.9
End11.4