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Red275
5834125.8
6009160.8
2935125.2
Blue342
5596115.0
7013144.7
746119.8
82%Model gave it18%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions361256100200300400500600275342

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
160.80.0
160.8160.8
Auto19.2
Teleop123.6
End19.1
red by 16.1
144.70.0
144.5144.5
Auto20.6
Teleop105.5
End18.4
Second
5834
#12
125.80.2
126.0125.8
Auto18.2
Teleop90.7
End16.0
red by 6.0
746
#28
119.80.0
119.8119.7
Auto14.9
Teleop89.0
End15.6
Third
2935
#32
125.20.3
124.9125.2
Auto17.2
Teleop100.8
End6.2
red by 10.2
5596
#37
115.00.1
115.1115.1
Auto12.3
Teleop87.0
End16.9