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Red420
2706163.6
4039184.7
6917135.8
Blue227
1285162.2
1246154.6
4308132.1
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions365314100200400500600420227

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
184.70.3
183.7184.0
Auto28.2
Teleop139.4
End16.2
red by 22.5
162.20.2
161.8162.1
Auto25.3
Teleop115.8
End20.8
Second
163.60.1
163.3163.4
Auto18.5
Teleop122.9
End21.9
red by 9.0
154.60.4
154.0154.4
Auto21.5
Teleop106.6
End25.0
Third
6917
#18
135.80.1
135.5135.6
Auto17.7
Teleop103.9
End14.4
red by 3.6
4308
#13
132.10.2
132.6132.4
Auto18.3
Teleop101.4
End9.5