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Red217
6009160.8
4252110.7
4015101.8
Blue191
6866109.1
697789.9
6564118.0
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2862390100200400500217191

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
160.810.4
106.6117.0
Auto19.2
Teleop123.6
End19.1
red by 42.8
6564
#29
118.09.2
103.2112.4
Auto15.1
Teleop88.1
End12.4
Second
4252
#22
110.72.3
120.2117.9
Auto16.0
Teleop84.0
End9.1
red by 1.6
6866
#34
109.10.9
114.6115.5
Auto14.1
Teleop83.9
End11.4
Third
4015
#33
101.81.0
103.4104.3
Auto14.0
Teleop78.0
End11.4
red by 11.8
6977
#26
89.90.7
98.798.0
Auto15.9
Teleop70.1
End3.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
11%Auto Quest oddsMissed15%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed