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Red410
5406192.4
6544142.7
1246154.6
Blue132
5834125.8
919103.0
6397103.7
89%Model gave it11%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3712080100300400500600410132

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
192.49.7
131.3141.1
Auto22.8
Teleop130.6
End41.1
red by 66.6
5834
#12
125.813.3
84.798.1
Auto18.2
Teleop90.7
End16.0
Second
154.60.8
125.8126.6
Auto21.5
Teleop106.6
End25.0
red by 51.0
6397
#19
103.77.2
86.793.9
Auto14.7
Teleop77.5
End14.2
Third
6544
#16
142.710.3
104.8115.1
Auto16.5
Teleop102.3
End26.6
red by 39.7
919
#36
103.08.6
74.783.3
Auto15.6
Teleop79.8
End7.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
40%Auto Quest oddsMissed29%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
5%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed