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Red310
6378152.9
1114206.3
6978126.4
Blue270
2706163.6
4015101.8
4308132.1
96%Model gave it4%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions403250100200300500600310270

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
206.34.6
195.7200.3
Auto28.0
Teleop148.8
End28.3
red by 42.6
163.64.1
156.2160.3
Auto18.5
Teleop122.9
End21.9
Second
6378
#10
152.90.5
154.2153.8
Auto18.0
Teleop116.4
End18.7
red by 20.7
4308
#13
132.11.2
129.8131.0
Auto18.3
Teleop101.4
End9.5
Third
6978
#11
126.43.6
118.4122.0
Auto18.3
Teleop96.7
End10.7
red by 24.7
4015
#33
101.80.2
100.7100.8
Auto14.0
Teleop78.0
End11.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
81%Auto Quest oddsEarned37%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
6%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed