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Red141
6130128.2
6564118.0
919103.0
Blue279
616288.7
2935125.2
854126.2
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions288276150200250300350400141279

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6130
#24
128.22.2
122.3124.5
Auto17.3
Teleop94.4
End19.6
red by 2.1
854
#20
126.20.7
125.0125.7
Auto19.5
Teleop94.8
End9.2
Second
6564
#29
118.01.5
117.1118.5
Auto15.1
Teleop88.1
End12.4
blue by 7.2
2935
#32
125.20.3
122.2122.5
Auto17.2
Teleop100.8
End6.2
Third
919
#36
103.01.3
103.8105.1
Auto15.6
Teleop79.8
End7.7
red by 14.3
6162
#30
88.72.1
95.793.6
Auto12.0
Teleop70.9
End4.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
45%Auto Quest oddsMissed21%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed