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Red268
5032124.9
854126.2
5911122.8
Blue424
5719111.7
1246154.6
6564118.0
44%Model gave it56%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2913190100200400500600700268424

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
854
#20
126.20.5
125.7126.2
Auto19.5
Teleop94.8
End9.2
blue by 28.5
154.62.9
147.3150.1
Auto21.5
Teleop106.6
End25.0
Second
5032
#25
124.91.6
122.5124.1
Auto19.1
Teleop96.0
End10.7
red by 6.9
6564
#29
118.00.3
118.4118.1
Auto15.1
Teleop88.1
End12.4
Third
5911
#14
122.81.9
119.6121.5
Auto17.4
Teleop95.8
End13.7
red by 11.1
5719
#23
111.70.5
112.8112.3
Auto15.8
Teleop88.7
End7.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
74%Auto Quest oddsMissed32%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed5%Face the Boss oddsMissed