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Red212
6878116.6
6544142.7
6378152.9
Blue319
7136105.7
7200144.9
1114206.3
21%Model gave it79%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions282369100200400500600212319

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6378
#10
152.90.3
153.0153.3
Auto18.0
Teleop116.4
End18.7
blue by 53.4
206.31.5
202.7204.1
Auto28.0
Teleop148.8
End28.3
Second
6544
#16
142.70.7
142.2142.9
Auto16.5
Teleop102.3
End26.6
blue by 2.2
144.90.6
143.1143.7
Auto19.0
Teleop108.0
End19.1
Third
6878
#17
116.60.8
114.3115.1
Auto15.3
Teleop85.0
End15.8
red by 11.0
7136
#35
105.70.2
106.2106.1
Auto14.7
Teleop82.8
End10.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
45%Auto Quest oddsMissed79%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
8%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed