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Red242
4704122.8
6331105.4
5032136.9
Blue121
6461111.4
2634117.7
6856100.1
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2942420100200400500242121

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5032
#13
136.91.1
126.1127.2
Auto15.8
Teleop107.8
End12.3
red by 19.2
2634
#30
117.75.4
113.9119.2
Auto11.4
Teleop91.0
End14.9
Second
4704
#12
122.80.3
122.8122.4
Auto19.3
Teleop94.3
End6.6
red by 11.4
6461
#31
111.44.2
111.0115.2
Auto17.4
Teleop81.0
End9.9
Third
6331
#22
105.40.1
110.0110.1
Auto13.5
Teleop77.0
End18.2
red by 5.3
6856
#14
100.10.4
90.890.4
Auto14.9
Teleop79.2
End7.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
59%Auto Quest oddsMissed14%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
2%Face the Boss oddsMissed5%Face the Boss oddsMissed