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Red276
4814124.2
1334155.6
1374132.1
Blue483
3756116.9
3683163.6
5589121.7
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions337258100200300400500276483

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
155.69.3
115.9125.2
Auto18.6
Teleop112.9
End25.2
blue by 8.0
163.65.4
132.5138.0
Auto22.6
Teleop118.2
End25.2
Second
1374
#24
132.17.5
106.2113.7
Auto17.9
Teleop98.3
End16.4
red by 10.4
5589
#25
121.72.4
103.8106.2
Auto18.4
Teleop91.8
End8.3
Third
4814
#20
124.20.9
121.6122.6
Auto19.1
Teleop97.9
End7.5
red by 7.3
3756
#32
116.94.2
103.7107.9
Auto15.0
Teleop87.0
End14.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
33%Auto Quest oddsEarned22%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
5%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed