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Red421
5024131.1
4525165.0
772171.6
Blue281
4248116.7
6342135.4
4678159.4
56%Model gave it44%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions325311200400500421281

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
772
#3
171.68.7
132.2140.9
Auto24.8
Teleop120.2
End29.3
red by 12.1
4678
#10
159.46.5
139.0145.4
Auto20.4
Teleop127.5
End10.6
Second
165.08.4
126.6135.0
Auto22.9
Teleop119.9
End23.6
red by 29.5
6342
#15
135.44.0
132.8136.8
Auto19.6
Teleop97.3
End16.1
Third
5024
#26
131.11.9
132.1130.1
Auto13.5
Teleop99.3
End22.2
red by 14.4
4248
#28
116.71.0
111.0112.0
Auto17.0
Teleop89.6
End14.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
50%Auto Quest oddsEarned33%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
5%Face the Boss oddsMissed5%Face the Boss oddsMissed