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Red103
3739129.3
6875101.2
6052118.2
Blue463
7022100.2
2056225.6
4917194.2
8%Model gave it92%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2084010100300500600700103463

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3739
#16
129.38.8
113.5122.3
Auto16.4
Teleop97.5
End12.0
blue by 96.3
225.69.2
173.0182.2
Auto28.2
Teleop158.7
End40.0
Second
6052
#23
118.26.4
104.7111.1
Auto18.3
Teleop84.0
End17.8
blue by 76.0
194.29.5
140.1149.6
Auto27.5
Teleop136.7
End34.0
Third
6875
#27
101.21.3
95.296.6
Auto13.1
Teleop76.0
End16.1
red by 1.0
7022
#19
100.20.1
92.992.8
Auto12.8
Teleop76.4
End12.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
21%Auto Quest oddsMissed57%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
5%Face the Boss oddsMissed12%Face the Boss oddsEarned